Test 6 · "I'm due a win": the gambler's fallacy Sister: "And 7, 19, 23, 31, 40, 44 is more likely because it looks random? It's all numbers on balls." Which is true?
Mova's choice: option 1 · The right answer: option 3 · wrong ✗ · Who acts: Sister, it · What happens: be, look · To what, where: numbers, balls
This is test 6 of lesson 171 «"I'm due a win": the gambler's fallacy» of the world course of Mova's primary school. The page gives the question's syntax tree — a dependency tree in the style of Universal Dependencies — and its pragmatics clause by clause, then the 4 options as the student saw them, each with its tree and pragmatics. Every text is parsed by Mova itself. How the student answered it, with the score of every option and why: the test at school .
The question Sentence 1: Sister: "And 7, 19, 23, 31, 40, 44 is more likely because it looks random?
nsubj:outer punct punct cc nsubj punct conj punct conj punct conj punct conj punct conj cop advmod mark nsubj ccomp xcomp punct root Sister NOUN : PUNCT " PUNCT And CCONJ 7 NUM , PUNCT 19 NUM , PUNCT 23 NUM , PUNCT 31 NUM , PUNCT 40 NUM , PUNCT 44 NUM is AUX more ADV likely ADJ because SCONJ it PRON looks VERB random ADJ ? PUNCT The words, one row each (CoNLL-U) # word lemma UPOS features head relation 1 Sister sister NOUN Number=Sing 18 likely nsubj:outer 2 : : PUNCT _ 1 Sister punct 3 " " PUNCT _ 18 likely punct 4 And and CCONJ _ 18 likely cc 5 7 7 NUM NumForm=Digit NumType=Card 18 likely nsubj 6 , , PUNCT _ 7 19 punct 7 19 19 NUM NumForm=Digit NumType=Card 5 7 conj 8 , , PUNCT _ 9 23 punct 9 23 23 NUM NumForm=Digit NumType=Card 5 7 conj 10 , , PUNCT _ 11 31 punct 11 31 31 NUM NumForm=Digit NumType=Card 5 7 conj 12 , , PUNCT _ 13 40 punct 13 40 40 NUM NumForm=Digit NumType=Card 5 7 conj 14 , , PUNCT _ 15 44 punct 15 44 44 NUM NumForm=Digit NumType=Card 5 7 conj 16 is be AUX Mood=Ind Number=Sing Person=3 Tense=Pres VerbForm=Fin 18 likely cop 17 more more ADV Degree=Cmp 18 likely advmod 18 likely likely ADJ Degree=Pos root root 19 because because SCONJ _ 21 looks mark 20 it it PRON Case=Nom Gender=Neut Number=Sing Person=3 PronType=Prs 21 looks nsubj 21 looks look VERB Mood=Ind Number=Sing Person=3 Tense=Pres VerbForm=Fin 18 likely ccomp 22 random random ADJ Degree=Pos 21 looks xcomp 23 ? ? PUNCT _ 18 likely punct
# verb tense, mood who what, whom to whom where when other roles by
1 is in a quote present Sister likely property tree rules 2 look in a quote present it random property vn stimulus_subject-30.4 «NP V ADJ»: agent=Stimulus
One row per clause the reader finds. «not said here»: a role filled from the clause above. «roles by»: a VerbNet class and frame when one fits the verb, else the reader's rules on the tree.
Sentence 2: It's all numbers on balls."
nsubj cop advmod case nmod punct punct root It PRON 's AUX all ADV numbers NOUN on ADP balls NOUN . PUNCT " PUNCT The words, one row each (CoNLL-U) # word lemma UPOS features head relation 1 It it PRON Case=Nom Gender=Neut Number=Sing Person=3 PronType=Prs 4 numbers nsubj 2 's be AUX Mood=Ind Number=Sing Person=3 Tense=Pres VerbForm=Fin 4 numbers cop 3 all all ADV _ 4 numbers advmod 4 numbers number NOUN Number=Plur root root 5 on on ADP _ 6 balls case 6 balls ball NOUN Number=Plur 4 numbers nmod 7 . . PUNCT _ 4 numbers punct 8 " " PUNCT _ 4 numbers punct
# verb tense, mood who what, whom to whom where when other roles by
1 is a present It numbers balls all property tree rules
Sentence 3: Which is true?
nsubj cop punct root Which PRON is AUX true ADJ ? PUNCT The words, one row each (CoNLL-U) # word lemma UPOS features head relation 1 Which which PRON PronType=Rel 3 true nsubj 2 is be AUX Mood=Ind Number=Sing Person=3 Tense=Pres VerbForm=Fin 3 true cop 3 true true ADJ Degree=Pos root root 4 ? ? PUNCT _ 3 true punct
# verb tense, mood who what, whom to whom where when other roles by
1 is present true property tree rules
The options Option 1 · ← Mova's choice The random-looking set is more likely
det compound punct amod nsubj cop advmod root The DET random ADJ - PUNCT looking VERB set NOUN is AUX more ADV likely ADJ The words, one row each (CoNLL-U) # word lemma UPOS features head relation 1 The the DET Definite=Def PronType=Art 5 set det 2 random random ADJ Degree=Pos 4 looking compound 3 - - PUNCT _ 2 random punct 4 looking look VERB VerbForm=Ger 5 set amod 5 set set NOUN Number=Sing 8 likely nsubj 6 is be AUX Mood=Ind Number=Sing Person=3 Tense=Pres VerbForm=Fin 8 likely cop 7 more more ADV Degree=Cmp 8 likely advmod 8 likely likely ADJ Degree=Pos root root
# verb tense, mood who what, whom to whom where when other roles by
1 look gerund vn stimulus_subject-30.4 «NP V PP.attribute»: agent=Stimulus 2 is present the looking set likely property tree rules
Option 2 The 1 to 6 set is more likely
det nummod case nmod nsubj cop advmod root The DET 1 NUM to ADP 6 NUM set NOUN is AUX more ADV likely ADJ The words, one row each (CoNLL-U) # word lemma UPOS features head relation 1 The the DET Definite=Def PronType=Art 5 set det 2 1 1 NUM NumForm=Digit NumType=Card 5 set nummod 3 to to ADP _ 4 6 case 4 6 6 NUM NumForm=Digit NumType=Card 2 1 nmod 5 set set NOUN Number=Sing 8 likely nsubj 6 is be AUX Mood=Ind Number=Sing Person=3 Tense=Pres VerbForm=Fin 8 likely cop 7 more more ADV Degree=Cmp 8 likely advmod 8 likely likely ADJ Degree=Pos root root
# verb tense, mood who what, whom to whom where when other roles by
1 is present the 1 set likely property tree rules
Option 3 · ✓ the right answer Both sets are exactly as likely
det nsubj cop advmod advmod root Both DET sets NOUN are AUX exactly ADV as ADV likely ADJ The words, one row each (CoNLL-U) # word lemma UPOS features head relation 1 Both both DET PronType=Tot 2 sets det 2 sets set NOUN Number=Plur 6 likely nsubj 3 are be AUX Mood=Ind Number=Plur Person=3 Tense=Pres VerbForm=Fin 6 likely cop 4 exactly exactly ADV _ 6 likely advmod 5 as as ADV _ 6 likely advmod 6 likely likely ADJ Degree=Pos root root
# verb tense, mood who what, whom to whom where when other roles by
1 is present both sets exactly, likely property tree rules
Option 4 Neither set can ever come up
det nsubj aux advmod advmod root Neither DET set NOUN can AUX ever ADV come VERB up ADV The words, one row each (CoNLL-U) # word lemma UPOS features head relation 1 Neither neither DET PronType=Neg 2 set det 2 set set NOUN Number=Sing 5 come nsubj 3 can can AUX VerbForm=Fin 5 come aux 4 ever ever ADV PronType=Ind 5 come advmod 5 come come VERB VerbForm=Inf root root 6 up up ADV _ 5 come advmod
# verb tense, mood who what, whom to whom where when other roles by
1 come up can neither set ever vn escape-51.1-1 «NP V»: agent=Theme
Text: the tests of Mova's primary school, written for Mova (world/data/school/), as the course runner gave them to the student. Trees: Mova's own parse — the en model on the CPU, when the site is built — not checked by a teacher; they may be wrong. Frames: Mova's frames reader (prag), each text read on its own. Elamur Cosmic License.
← previous "I'm due a win": the gambler's fallacy, test 5next → "I'm due a win": the gambler's fallacy, test 7↑ back to "I'm due a win": the gambler's fallacy This page in Markdown → https://md.mova.elamur.ai/free/en/corpora/questions/world/171-im-due-a-win-the-gamblers-fallacy/t6/